Match Info

Division 1 - Round 26

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al Raed		Al-Jabalain

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.35	2.58
	2.47	3.57	2.64
	2.43	3.53	2.52	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.45
	2.55	3.22	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.5)	3.38 ↑ (3.25)	2.58 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Raed
37.6%

Draw
27%

Al-Jabalain
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

28.2%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28.4%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Raed has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Al-Jabalain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Jabalain than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Al Raed - Al Jabalain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Al Ohaymid S. (G) 32. Al Dossary M. (C) 66. Whaeshi B. 4. Hazazi A. 13. Al Yousif A. 5. Tweh S. 24. Al Salouli S. 15. Shami A. 38. Al Dawsari M. 26. Bouzok Y. 9. Gano Z.	30. Al Waked M. (C) 4. Queiros D. 3. Al Bukhari A. 5. Al Nakhli I. 12. Al Harbi F. 14. Zaydan S. 10. Pessoa P. 7. Novais J. 11. Cinari E. 9. Toure C. 77. Al Saeed S.
Substitutes
25. Abdulrazaq F. 88. Al Otaibi M. (G) 6. Al Shaikhi A. 7. Al Shaikh M. 11. Al Shanqiti W. 2. Al Shuqayran T. 42. Al Zahrani A. 45. Sunbul Y. 10. Yoda K.	1. Al Ghubaini A. (G) 20. Al Harbi A. 2. Al Mutairi N. 17. Al Rshaidan Y. 18. Al-Shammari K. S. 55. Al Shammari Z. 28. Al Shehri A. 71. Al Sultan H. 8. Al Terais F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', Cinari E. 🟨,
36', Al Ohaymid S. 🟨,
37', Novais J. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Al Waked M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Gano Z. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', Hazazi A. 🟨,
45+9', 1 - 1, Toure C. ⚽, Cinari E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Al Dossary M. 🟨,
61', 2 - 1, Al Salouli S. ⚽, Shami A. (A),
66', Al Yousif A. 🟨,
69', Pessoa P. ↓, Al-Shammari K. S. ↑,
80', Al Bukhari A. ↓, Al Mutairi N. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Shami A. ⚽, Bouzok Y. (A),
85', Al Dawsari M. ↓, Al Shaikhi A. ↑,
87', Al Saeed S. ↓, Al Sultan H. ↑,
87', Zaydan S. ↓, Al Terais F. ↑,
90+1', Shami A. ↓, Sunbul Y. ↑,
90+1', Bouzok Y. ↓, Al Shanqiti W. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Al Raed is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Jabalain is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al Raed won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Al Raed won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Jabalain	6	2	3	1	4:4	0	9
13	Al Raed	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Jabalain - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.21%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Raed
Saudi Division 1
01.03.26	Al-Anwar - Al Raed	1:0 ✺
24.02.26	Al Raed - Al Jubail	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Al Jandal - Al Raed	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Al Raed - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Al-Taee - Al Raed	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWT
- Al-Jabalain FC
Saudi Division 1
02.03.26	Al-Jabalain - Al-Zulfi	1:1 ✺
24.02.26	Al-Orobah - Al-Jabalain	0:1 ✺
19.02.26	Al-Anwar - Al-Jabalain	2:3 ✺
13.02.26	Al-Jabalain - Al Jandal	4:2 ✺
09.02.26	Al-Jabalain - Al-Bukayriyah	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
23.11.25	Al-Jabalain - Al Raed	2:1
Saudi King Cup
06.01.25	Al Raed - Al-Jabalain	2:1 penalties

Al Raed - Al-Jabalain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide