Match Info

ASIA: Gulf Club Champions League - Round 5

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Khalifa Sports City Stadium (Isa Town)


	Al-Riffa		Al-Ettifaq Dammam

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	4.33
	1.63	4	4.5
	1.71	3.92	4.34
	1.63	3.91	4.54	Watch
	1.66	3.94	4.67	Watch
	1.63	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (3.32)	3.92 ↑ (3.5)	4.48 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Riffa
55.9%

Draw
23.5%

Al-Ettifaq Dammam
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

25.9%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

28.3%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Riffa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Riffa's performance.

Al-Ettifaq Dammam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ettifaq Dammam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riffa than the current prediction. (-30.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Riffa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (+30.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ettifaq Dammam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Al Riffa - Al Ettifaq Dammam Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Al-Riffa will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Al-Ettifaq will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Riffa: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Madanieh A. (G) 34. Abdulrahman Abdulqader 6. Al Eker H. 28. Ali H. 9. Frioui S. 4. Fuentes J. 14. Haram A. (C) 11. Saeed A. 13. Shaikh A. J. 10. Vargas 12. Wellington	92. Baljosh T. (G) 46. Al Elewai A. 27. Al Kadi M. 88. Al Malki A. (C) 33. Al Olayan M. 24. Bamsaud A. 77. Duran M. 36. Escobar J. 25. Hindi A. 28. Sahhari A. N. 7. Toko Ekambi K.
Substitutes
20. Abdulrahman Akram 33. Al Asam B. H. R. 29. Al Doseri R. (G) 19. Al Khalaf K. 22. Bosharrar F. 24. Fardan A. (G) 8. Khalid A. 26. Mahdi Abdulla 21. Mathieu J. 23. Olguin M.	15. Abdullah Al Bishi 29. Abdulrahman M. 99. Al Eisa M. b. S. 96. Al Haidari M. (G) 38. Al Zahrani (G) 31. Chaouali W. 4. Hendry J. 14. Vitinho 8. Wijnaldum G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Vargas ⚽, Wellington (A),
41', Toko Ekambi K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Haram A. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Al Elewai A. ⚽, Al Malki A. (A),
58', Al Malki A. ↓, Al Zahrani A. b. N. b. M. ↑,
58', Toko Ekambi K. ↓, Abdullah Al Bishi ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Fuentes J. ⚽, Wellington (A),

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 9 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 3.

Recent matches Bristol City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Swansea has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Bristol City is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:14 (average 1.1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol City won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 0.9:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Riffa SC
Bahraini Kings Cup
01.02.25	Bahrain SC - Al-Riffa	0:2 ✺
Bahraini Premier League
18.01.25	Al-Shabab Manama - Al-Riffa	2:0 ✺
10.01.25	Al-Riffa - Al-Muharraq	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	East Riffa Club - Al-Riffa	0:0 ✺
09.12.24	Al-Riffa - Al-Ahli Manama	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWTW
- Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League
31.01.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Shabab Riyadh	3:1 ✺
25.01.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:2 ✺
20.01.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2 ✺
15.01.25	Damac - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:3 ✺
10.01.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Kholood	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Gulf Club Champions League
23.10.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Riffa	3:1

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