Match Info

Date: 6 October 2022, Thursday


	Al Sahel		Al Arabi

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.9	1.57
	3.8	3.7	1.7
	4.5	3.85	1.59
	4.08	3.72	1.63
	5	3.7	1.57
	4.9	3.65	1.61	Watch
	4.5	3.9	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (3.02)	3.77 ↑ (3.32)	1.61 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Sahel
20.2%

Draw
23.9%

Al Arabi
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

27.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

26.5%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Sahel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Sahel's form might have worsened.

Al Arabi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Arabi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Sahel than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Sahel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Arabi than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Arabi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	53.8%	38.5%

Al Sahel - Al Arabi Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Al Sahel will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Al Arabi will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group)).

Al Sahel has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Al Arabi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Al Arabi is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al Sahel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Al Sahel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Sahel Kuwait
Kuwaiti Premier League
01.10.22	Al Tadamun - Al Sahel	1:1 ✺
16.09.22	Al Sahel - Al Kuwait	2:3 ✺
08.09.22	Al Salmiya - Al Sahel	2:1 ✺
01.09.22	Al Sahel - Al Naser	1:3 ✺
26.08.22	Al Sahel - Al Qadsia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLLL
- Al Arabi Kuwait
Kuwaiti Premier League
01.10.22	Al Arabi - Al Jahra	2:0 ✺
16.09.22	Al Arabi - Al Tadamun	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Al Kuwait - Al Arabi	3:2 ✺
30.08.22	Al Arabi - Al Salmiya	2:2 ✺
25.08.22	Al Naser - Al Arabi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Kuwaiti Premier League
14.05.21	Al Arabi - Al Sahel	3:0
15.03.21	Al Sahel - Al Arabi	0:2

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