The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Shabab Riyadh 11.7%
Draw 16.6%
Al-Hilal 71.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.3%
21.1%
61.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.8%
20.5%
63.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Shabab Riyadh's form might have worsened.
Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Hilal's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Shabab Riyadh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Hilal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Al-Hilal (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Hilal will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% โ 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Diaw M. (G) 17. Al Thani M. 4. Jedvaj T. 3. Barry M. T. 40. Al Asmari A. 22. Al Hammami H. 8. Brownhill J. 29. Adli Y. 10. Carrasco Y. (C) 11. Podence D. 9. Martinez Tobinson R. B.
37. Bono (G) 2. Mahzari M. 3. Koulibaly K. 87. Tambakti H. 24. Al Harbi M. 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 28. Kanno M. (C) 8. Neves R. 38. Summerville C. 27. Mandash S. 11. Watkins O.
Substitutes
77. Al Dubais H. 74. Al Hadhood A. 99. Al Khorayef H. 33. Al Mahasneh M. (G) 6. Al Nashri A. 24. Al Oboud A. 94. Al Rajeh M. 2. Al Shwirekh M. 37. Matuq A.
55. Al Dawood M. 6. Al Dawsari N. 77. Al Habashi N. 18. Al Hawsawi M. 44. Al Mutairi S. 33. Al Owais M. (G) 72. Dahal S. 7. Martinelli G. 75. Meite M.
Coaches
Letsch T.
Inzaghi S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Al Thani M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Podence D. ↓, Al Oboud A. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Milinkovic-Savic S. ⚽, Mahzari M. (A),
63', Al Asmari A. ↓, Matuq A. ↑,
68', Mandash S. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
76', Tambakti H. 🟨,
76', Tambakti H. ↓, Al Dawsari N. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Neves R. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Watkins O. ↓, Meite M. ↑,
88', Summerville C. ↓, Al Hawsawi M. ↑,
88', Al Harbi M. ↓, Dahal S. ↑,
90', Barry M. T. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 0.
Al-Shabab has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Al-Hilal is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Al-Hilal is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 22:43. (average 1.1:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.4:2.2).
Outrights of Saudi Professional League for now
Al Hilal: 40.64% Al Shabab: 0.3%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Al Hilal
7
6
0
1
23:5
18
18
14
Al Shabab
7
0
4
3
6:11
-5
4
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Hilal - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 61.66%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Austria
Brazil
Canada
Croatia
Czech-republic
Germany
Mexico
Romania
Saudi-arabia
Turkey
Usa
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Diaw M. (G) 
Al Thani M. 
Jedvaj T. 
Brownhill J. 
Adli Y. 
Carrasco Y. (C) 
Podence D. 
Martinez Tobinson R. B. 
Bono (G) 
Milinkovic-Savic S. 
Summerville C. 
Martinelli G. 
Meite M. 
Letsch T. 
Inzaghi S. 
