Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 4

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Shahid, Thmanyah


	Al-Shabab Riyadh		Al-Kholood

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	4.75
	1.62	4.05	4.65
	1.67	4.09	4.95
	1.62	3.98	4.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.46)	4.01 ↓ (4.63)	4.76 ↓ (5.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shabab Riyadh
57%

Draw
23.3%

Al-Kholood
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

20%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Shabab Riyadh's form might have worsened.

Al-Kholood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Shabab Riyadh - Al Kholood Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Shabab Riyadh will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Shabab Riyadh will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Marcelo Grohe (G) 94. Al Rajeh M. 2. Al Shwirekh M. 4. Hoedt W. 31. Balobaid S. 7. Hernandez U. 8. Brownhill J. 29. Adli Y. 14. Sierro V. 13. Carlos Junior 10. Carrasco Y. (C)	31. Cozzani J. (G) 8. Al Safari A. 5. Troost-Ekong W. (C) 23. Gyomber N. 38. Pinas S. 6. Buckley J. 96. N'Doram K. 70. Sawan M. 11. Bahebri H. 18. Enrique R. 9. Maolida M.
Substitutes
19. Abdullah M. 34. Al Anzi S. 23. Al Awardi A. (G) 22. Al Hammami H. 91. Al Othman A. 21. Al Saadi N. 6. Al Subiani F. 38. Harbush M. 37. Matuq A.	39. Al Dawsari A. 4. Al Dosari J. 46. Al Elewai A. 30. Al Shammari M. (G) 7. Al Shehri S. 48. Al Yahya M. (G) 19. Khalifah M. 13. Masoud A.
Coaches
Alguacil I.	Buckingham D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Hernandez U. 🟨,
20', Bahebri H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Enrique R. ⚽, Bahebri H. (A),
52', Carlos Junior ↓, Al Hammami H. ↑,
52', Brownhill J. ↓, Al Othman A. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Carrasco Y. (Pen),
70', Maolida M. (Pen),
70', Al Safari A. ↓, Al Shehri S. ↑,
74', Al Rajeh M. ↓, Al Subiani F. ↑,
85', Maolida M. ↓, Al Elewai A. ↑,
87', Sawan M. ↓, Al Dawsari A. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Al Elewai A. ⚽,
90+5', Adli Y. ↓, Abdullah M. ↑,
90+6', Al Shwirekh M. ↓, Matuq A. ↑,

Preview

Al-Shabab has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, Al-Shabab is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Shabab won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shabab Riyadh
Saudi King Cup
22.09.25	Abha - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:3 penalties ✺
Saudi Professional League
19.09.25	Al-Feiha - Al-Shabab Riyadh	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Hazem	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Khaleej	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Sharjah	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTWLT
- Al-Kholood Club
Saudi King Cup
22.09.25	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Kholood	1:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
18.09.25	Al-Kholood - Damac	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Kholood	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Kholood	2:1 ✺
26.05.25	Al Raed - Al-Kholood	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
10.04.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Kholood	2:0
07.11.24	Al-Kholood - Al-Shabab Riyadh	0:2
Saudi King Cup
24.09.24	Al-Kholood - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:3

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