Match Info

Emir Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Qatar	Al Kass One, Shoof


	Al-Shahania		Al-Mesaimeer

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	4.5
	1.56	4.93	5
	1.57	3.8	4.8
	1.53	4.1	4.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.72)	4.26 ↑ (4.17)	4.82 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shahania
59.4%

Draw
21.6%

Al-Mesaimeer
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

22%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

22.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shahania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Shahania's performance.

Al-Mesaimeer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Mesaimeer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shahania than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Shahania that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Mesaimeer than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Mesaimeer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Shahania - Al Mesaimeer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Mamdouh S. (G) 20. Al Raeesi Y. 30. Al Wadie M. 10. Antonucci F. 5. Muniesa M. 7. Mussed A. 88. Mutasem M. 4. Sayyar M. 2. Simo 9. van Amersfoort P. 22. van Beek S. (C)	31. Abdul Aziz A. (G) 6. Aboubakr M. 21. Al Alawi M. 22. Al-Nayemi K. 4. Dahqani I. 8. Djenidi M. 11. Gakpa M. 7. Hanne B. 10. Meye A. 12. Moumouni A. 16. Sherif A.
Substitutes
15. Abdo E. 27. Al Ahrak N. 11. Al Yahri A. 17. Al Yazidi K. 6. Jalal M. 16. Kadik M. (G) 24. Kamal H. 77. Khalaf M. (G) 90. Koroma A. 8. Madjer L. 66. Mohammad A. 12. Mordou E. (G)	1. Abdulnaser A. 9. Adjaoudi M. 88. Al Abbasi A. 15. Fathi W. 77. Mohsen M. 19. N'diaye L. 13. Saberi A. (G) 2. Saeed H. 17. Shurrab K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 🟨,
49', 2 - 0, ⚽,
73', 🟨,
83', 🟥,
83', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shahania won 4.

Recent form of Al-Shahania has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Mesaimeer's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Shahania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Shahania is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Al-Shahania won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shahania won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shahania SC
Qatar QSL
18.04.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shahania	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Al-Shahania - Qatar SC	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Al-Shahania - Al-Ahli Doha	2:3 ✺
28.03.25	Al-Shamal - Al-Shahania	3:0 ✺
07.03.25	Al-Shahania - Al-Sadd	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTLLL
- Al-Mesaimeer SC
Qatar Emir Cup
21.04.25	Al-Markhiya - Al-Mesaimeer	1:2 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
16.04.25	Al-Mesaimeer - Al-Kharitiyath	4:0 ✺
10.04.25	Lusail City - Al-Mesaimeer	4:1 ✺
14.03.25	Al-Mesaimeer - Al-Markhiya	0:0 ✺
06.03.25	Al-Sailiya - Al-Mesaimeer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QFA Cup
23.03.24	Al-Shahania - Al-Mesaimeer	2:1 penalties
Qatar QSL 2
28.02.24	Al-Mesaimeer - Al-Shahania	2:3
31.10.23	Al-Shahania - Al-Mesaimeer	3:2
Qatar QFA Cup
14.09.23	Al-Mesaimeer - Al-Shahania	0:0
Qatar QSL 2
05.04.23	Al-Mesaimeer - Al-Shahania	0:2
16.09.22	Al-Shahania - Al-Mesaimeer	3:1
04.03.22	Al-Mesaimeer - Al-Shahania	0:0

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