Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League 2 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Al Taawon Arena (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
North-macedonia	SportKlub 3
Russia	TV Start Triumph
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball


	Al-Taawoun		Al-Wakrah

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.55	4.2	5
	1.59	4.26	4.9
	1.61	4.11	5.01
	1.58	4.1	5.29	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.75)	4.17 ↑ (3.8)	5.04 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Taawoun
59.2%

Draw
22.3%

Al-Wakrah
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

24.3%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

23.7%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Taawoun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Taawoun's performance.

Al-Wakrah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Taawoun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wakrah than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Al Taawoun - Al Wakrah Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Taawoun will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mailson (G) 5. Mahzari M. 3. Andrei Girotto 23. Al Ahmad W. 16. Rivas R. 70. Sabiri A. 18. El Mahdioui A. (C) 76. Fajr F. 27. Mandash S. 38. Martinez Tobinson R. B. 99. Barrow M.	22. Al Khater S. (C) 4. Termanini M. 15. Ali A. 13. Scholz A. 77. Al Battat M. 8. Fathy H. 93. Laidouni A. 7. Assal A. 10. Gelson Dala 70. Boulaya F. 18. Hussein A.
Substitutes
9. Adam A. 21. Al Abdulraziq F. 6. Al Farhan S. 7. Al Kuwaykibi M. 32. Al Mufarrij M. 8. Al Nasser S. 13. Atiah A. (G) 90. Bahebri H. 29. Bahusayn A. 19. Chavez Cruz L. L.	99. Abudlla O. (G) 16. Erfan N. 19. Gannan S. 3. Hassan A. 33. Hassan M. 9. Khaled M. 2. Lucas Mendes 27. Mohammed K. 21. Muneer K. 31. Ramadan Y. (G) 28. Rashid A. 6. Salah O.
Coaches
Al Abdali M.	Asbaghi P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Termanini M. 🟨,
26', Al Ahmad W. 🟥,
31', Fajr F. ↓, Al Nasser S. ↑,
33', Ali A. 🟨,
45+2', Fathy H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Termanini M. ↓, Hassan A. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Gelson Dala ⚽, Assal A. (A),
57', Al Nasser S. 🟨,
65', Assal A. 🟨,
66', Asbaghi P. 🟨,
68', Mandash S. ↓, Al Kuwaykibi M. ↑,
68', Martinez Tobinson R. B. ↓, Adam A. ↑,
68', Al Battat M. ↓, Lucas Mendes ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Al Kuwaykibi M. ⚽, Adam A. (A),
Extra Time (1 - 1)
98', Boulaya F. ↓, Gannan S. ↑,
98', Hussein A. ↓, Mohammed K. ↑,
108', Sabiri A. ↓, Al Farhan S. ↑,
108', Barrow M. ↓, Bahebri H. ↑,
112', 2 - 1, Rivas R. ⚽, Al Nasser S. (A),
112', Rivas R. 🟨,
115', Fathy H. ↓, Salah O. ↑,
115', Ali A. ↓, Khaled M. ↑,
117', Al Mufarrij M. 🟨,
119', Adam A. ↓, Al Mufarrij M. ↑,
120+4', 2 - 2, Gelson Dala ⚽, Lucas Mendes (A),
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Lucas Mendes (Pen),
1, El Mahdioui A. (Pen),
2, Scholz A. (Pen),
2, Bahebri H. (Pen),
3, Salah O. (Pen),
3, Al Kuwaykibi M. (Pen),
4, Khaled M. (Pen),
4, Andrei Girotto (Pen),
5, Gelson Dala (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.

Recent matches Al-Taawoun is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Wakrah is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Wakrah could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al-Taawoun is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Al-Taawoun won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Taawoun FC
Saudi Professional League
15.02.25	Al-Khaleej - Al-Taawoun	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
12.02.25	Al-Wakrah - Al-Taawoun	2:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
06.02.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:2 ✺
31.01.25	Al-Feiha - Al-Taawoun	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Orobah	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLTT
- Al-Wakrah SC
AFC Champions League 2
12.02.25	Al-Wakrah - Al-Taawoun	2:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
07.02.25	Al Duhail - Al-Wakrah	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Al-Wakrah - Al-Shahania	0:1 ✺
24.01.25	Al-Wakrah - Al-Arabi Doha	4:3 ✺
Super Cup UAE Qatar
19.01.25	Al-Wahda - Al-Wakrah	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
12.02.25	Al-Wakrah - Al-Taawoun	2:2

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