Match Info

Division 1 - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Medina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Ula		Al-Orobah

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.15	5.9
	1.46	4.51	5.98
	1.43	4.53	5.8	Watch
	1.44	4	5.5
	1.41	4.45	5.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)	4.33 ↑ (4.16)	5.83 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ula
63.4%

Draw
21%

Al-Orobah
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

22%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

20.9%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Al-Orobah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Orobah than the current prediction. (+2%)

Al Ula - Al Orobah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Al Owais M. (C) 2. Al Zubaidi A. 5. Danilo Barbosa 24. Al Dohaim A. 27. Al Shamrani H. 6. Al Hussain A. 8. Al Sulaiheem A. 96. Michael 10. Guanca C. 29. Al Majhad M. 9. Koulouris E.	34. Al Oshbaan J. (G) 11. Al Maqati H. (C) 14. Rabie F. 33. Al Shuwaish H. 66. Al Sultan A. 6. Al Juwaid A. 70. Hendi A. 80. Al Rashidi F. 21. Najah A. 20. Gonzalez D. 9. Simy
Substitutes
77. Adam A. 45. Al Asmari F. 1. Al Jubaya A. (G) 7. Al Khulaif A. 88. Al Nabit S. 12. Al Shamrani K. 4. Haqawi Y. 14. Jumayah F. 3. Razzaq A.	15. Al Bishi A. M. 27. Al Harbi S. 12. Alhazmi M. 10. Al Hujaili A. 4. Al Hunayti Z. 44. Al Munaif F. I. 22. Al Ruwaili S. (G) 7. Doumbia A. 99. Masnom A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Hendi A. ↓, Al Harbi S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Al Juwaid A. 🟨,
66', Rabie F. ↓, Al Hunayti Z. ↑,
81', Najah A. ↓, Al Hujaili A. ↑,
81', Al Harbi S. ↓, Alhazmi M. ↑,
81', Al Hussain A. ↓, Al Khulaif A. ↑,
85', Al Shamrani H. ↓, Jumayah F. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 1, Simy ⚽, Al Hujaili A. (A),
90+5', 1 - 1, Danilo Barbosa ⚽, Guanca C. (A),
90+6', Al Zubaidi A. ↓, Adam A. ↑,
90+9', Al Dohaim A. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
105', Al Rashidi F. ↓, Masnom A. ↑,
105+5', 2 - 1, Adam A. ⚽, Michael (A),
111', Koulouris E. ↓, Haqawi Y. ↑,
112', Michael ↓, Razzaq A. ↑,
112', Al Sulaiheem A. ↓, Al Asmari F. ↑,
113', Al Asmari F. 🟨,
115', Al Hujaili A. 🟨,
116', Al Majhad M. 🟨,
116', Al Majhad M. 🟥,

Preview

Al-Ula is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Orobah is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Al-Ula is the team to beat.

We predict that Al-Ula will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Ula won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Ula won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ula	5	5	0	0	10:1	9	15
12	Al Orubah	6	1	4	1	4:4	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ula FC
Saudi Division 1
14.05.26	Al-Ula - Al-Zulfi	4:2 ✺
09.05.26	Al Jubail - Al-Ula	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Al-Ula - Al Raed	2:1 ✺
27.04.26	Al-Anwar - Al-Ula	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Al-Ula - Al-Jabalain	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWT
- Al-Orobah FC
Saudi Division 1
14.05.26	Al-Orobah - Al-Anwar	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Jeddah - Al-Orobah	0:4 ✺
02.05.26	Al-Orobah - Al-Wahda Mecca	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Al Jandal - Al-Orobah	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Al-Orobah - Al-Zulfi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
03.03.26	Al-Ula - Al-Orobah	3:1
08.11.25	Al-Orobah - Al-Ula	0:1

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