Match Info

Division 1 - Round 5

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: King Abdul Aziz Stadium (Mecca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Wahda Mecca		Abha

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.25	2.08
	3.48	3.35	2.09
	2.53	3.22	2.58	Watch
	3.22	3.24	2.09
	2.5	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.52)	3.23 ↑ (3.18)	2.28 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Wahda Mecca
31.1%

Draw
28.5%

Abha
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.6%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

28.6%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Wahda Mecca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Abha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wahda Mecca than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abha than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Abha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Al Wahda Mecca - Abha Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Abha will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Abha will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Agi (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
64', 1 - 1, Sow S. (Pen),
78', 1 - 2, Muralha ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, Mbengue A. ⚽,
89', Al Zahrani H. 🟥,
90+3', 2 - 3, Al Fahad A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Wahda won 3.

Al-Wahda has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Abha has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Wahda won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Wahda won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Wahda Mecca
Saudi Division 1
04.10.25	Al-Faisaly - Al-Wahda Mecca	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Diriyah	0:2 ✺
Saudi King Cup
23.09.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:1 ✺
Saudi Division 1
18.09.25	Jeddah - Al-Wahda Mecca	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ula	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- Abha FC
Saudi Division 1
03.10.25	Al-Zulfi - Abha	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Abha - Al-Orobah	2:3 ✺
Saudi King Cup
22.09.25	Abha - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:3 penalties ✺
Saudi Division 1
16.09.25	Al-Jabalain - Abha	1:3 ✺
11.09.25	Abha - Al-Faisaly	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
14.03.24	Abha - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:0
22.09.23	Al-Wahda Mecca - Abha	4:0
24.02.23	Abha - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:2
08.09.22	Al-Wahda Mecca - Abha	1:0
15.03.21	Al-Wahda Mecca - Abha	1:4
27.12.20	Abha - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:1
07.02.20	Abha - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:4

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