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Current Win Probability
Al-Wahda Mecca 48.3%
Draw 26.3%
Al Akhdoud 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
27.8%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
28.1%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Wahda Mecca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Wahda Mecca's performance.
Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Akhdoud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Wahda Mecca than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Wahda Mecca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Akhdoud could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al Wahda Mecca - Al Akhdoud Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Al Shammari A. (G) 99. Al Omari S. 66. Whaeshi B. 3. Al Salem A. 19. Al Qahtani S. 6. Al Jaweed A. 24. Al Maqadi S. 16. Halilovic D. 20. Gonzalez D. 12. Morato 11. Muralha (C)
1. Al Najjar R. (G) 21. Abu Abd M. 73. Al Harbi H. 5. Alex Nascimento 50. Al Hawsawi N. 4. Hazazi A. 15. Al Bishi N. 9. Sangare B. 11. Al Jahif M. (C) 7. Agi 37. Al Lazam K.
Substitutes
17. Al Lehiyani S. 5. Al Maqadi R. 28. Al Omaisi A. 21. Al Sharif K. (G) 29. Al Taleb F. 14. Ayyash W. 15. Hadi Hattan A. 7. Khadhari A. 9. Olayinka P.
28. Al Amri A. (G) 22. Al Daghrir A. 13. Al-Makrami A. 29. Al Qareh S. 88. Ashi I. 96. Majrashi A. 10. Rui Pedro 23. Talal Al Hasaniyyah M.
Coaches
Vojneski S.
Flora F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Morato ⚽, Al Maqadi S. (A),
33', Morato ↓, Al Taleb F. ↑,
37', 1 - 1, Al Harbi H. ⚽, Al Jahif M. (A),
43', Agi 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
59', 2 - 1, Al Maqadi S. ⚽,
64', Al Hawsawi N. ↓, Al-Makrami A. ↑,
64', Hazazi A. ↓, Al Qareh S. ↑,
65', Al Maqadi S. ↓, Al Maqadi R. ↑,
69', Alex Nascimento ↓, Talal Al Hasaniyyah M. ↑,
76', Al Jahif M. ↓, Rui Pedro ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Gonzalez D. ⚽, Al Maqadi R. (A),
83', 4 - 1, Halilovic D. ⚽, Muralha (A),
90+1', Gonzalez D. ↓, Olayinka P. ↑,
90+1', Al Shammari A. 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 2, Al Harbi H. ⚽, Rui Pedro (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Wahda won 2.
Al-Wahda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Al Akhdoud is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Al-Wahda could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Wahda won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Wahda won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
Saudi-arabia
Usa
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Al Shammari A. (G) 
Halilovic D. 
Gonzalez D. 
Morato 
Sangare B. 
Agi 
Olayinka P. 
Rui Pedro 
Vojneski S. 
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