Match Info

Division 1 - Round 13

Date: 25 December 2025, Thursday

Location: King Abdul Aziz Stadium (Mecca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Wahda Mecca		Al Jubail

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.65	7.5
	1.28	4.81	9.57	Watch
	1.33	4.33	8
	1.3	4.6	8.65	Watch
	1.32	4.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.53)	4.58 ↑ (3.94)	8.54 ↑ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Wahda Mecca
69.5%

Draw
19.9%

Al Jubail
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

23.2%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

22.4%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Wahda Mecca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Wahda Mecca's performance.

Al Jubail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Jubail might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Wahda Mecca than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Wahda Mecca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Jubail than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Jubail could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	0%	8.7%

Al Wahda Mecca - Al Jubail Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Al-Wahda (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Wahda Mecca will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Wahda Mecca will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Wahda (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Al Jubail (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Al Oaisher A. (G) 2. Al Muwallad S. 70. Al Muwallad A. 53. Adnan A. 32. Bakheet M. 8. Oladapo A. 24. Al Maqadi S. 11. Diallo D. 79. Al Muwashar S. (C) 20. Majrashi K. 19. Mbengue A.	1. Huriss M. (G) 22. Al Oudah O. 50. Al Nakhli H. 23. Dias R. 33. Al Asmari R. 8. Al Reshoodi N. 6. Thioune O. 28. Lahlali Z. 30. Fati E. 76. Fajr F. (C) 9. Al Thakrallah E.
Substitutes
17. Al Lehiyani S. 80. Al Musa Y. 99. Al Omari S. 55. Al Qahtani S. 47. Al Rashidi A. (G) 29. Al Taleb F. 77. Khadhari M. 23. Majrashi A. 12. Makeen A.	88. Al Duhilan A. 11. Al Jubaya A. 12. Al Khaldi N. 7. Al Mahmoudi M. 92. Al Obaid W. (G) 17. Al Omari A. 10. Al Shammari M. 13. Al Shardi B. 77. Hazazi N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Fati E. ⚽, Fajr F. (A),
11', Al Asmari R. 🟨,
21', Al Muwallad S. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Mbengue A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Majrashi K. ↓, Makeen A. ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Diallo D. ⚽,
63', Fajr F. ↓, Hazazi N. ↑,
70', Mbengue A. ↓, Al Lehiyani S. ↑,
70', Al Muwashar S. ↓, Majrashi A. ↑,
73', Thioune O. ↓, Al Mahmoudi M. ↑,
73', Fati E. ↓, Al Jubaya A. ↑,
76', Al Reshoodi N. ↓, Al Khaldi N. ↑,
76', Al Thakrallah E. ↓, Al Shammari M. ↑,
77', Oladapo A. 🟨,
77', Majrashi A. 🟨,
78', Dias R. 🟨,
79', Makeen A. 🟨,
90+3', Diallo D. ↓, Khadhari M. ↑,
90+4', Al Maqadi S. ↓, Al Qahtani S. ↑,
90+4', Adnan A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Al-Wahda is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al Jubail is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Al-Wahda is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Wahda Mecca
Saudi Division 1
20.12.25	Al-Adalh - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:4 ✺
14.12.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Anwar	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Al Raed - Al-Wahda Mecca	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Zulfi	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Al-Taee - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWLTW
- Al Jubail Club
Saudi Division 1
19.12.25	Al Jubail - Al-Jabalain	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Al Jandal - Al Jubail	1:0 ✺
28.11.25	Al Jubail - Al-Faisaly	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Al Jubail - Abha	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Al-Bukayriyah - Al Jubail	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLLL

Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Jubail: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide