Match Info

KUWAIT: Premier League - Round 15

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Kuwait	ATV, Shasha


	Al Yarmouk Meshref		Al Naser

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.6	2.02
	2.99	3.7	2.08
	3.04	3.73	2.14	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.1
	2.97	3.68	2.04
	3.05	3.6	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.18)	3.64 ↓ (3.76)	2.07 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Yarmouk Meshref
30.5%

Draw
25.2%

Al Naser
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

24.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

23.3%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Yarmouk Meshref has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Yarmouk Meshref's form might have worsened.

Al Naser has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Naser's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Yarmouk Meshref than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Yarmouk Meshref, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Naser than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Naser, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al Yarmouk Meshref - Al Naser Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Salman Bormeya (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', 0 - 2, ⚽,
54', 0 - 3, ⚽,
64', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Yarmouk won 0.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Al Yarmouk won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 8:29 (average 0.6:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Al Yarmouk won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2:12 (average 0.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Yarmouk Meshref
Kuwaiti Premier League
09.02.25	Al Kuwait - Al Yarmouk Meshref	6:0 ✺
31.01.25	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Khaitan	0:0 ✺
21.01.25	Al-Fahaheel - Al Yarmouk Meshref	4:1 ✺
14.01.25	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Al Qadsia	2:2 ✺
09.01.25	Al Tadamun - Al Yarmouk Meshref	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLTL
- Al Naser
Kuwaiti Premier League
08.02.25	Al Naser - Al Tadamun	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Al Kuwait - Al Naser	6:0 ✺
21.01.25	Al Naser - Kazma	1:1 ✺
15.01.25	Khaitan - Al Naser	1:1 ✺
10.01.25	Al Naser - Al Salmiya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Kuwaiti Premier League
29.09.24	Al Naser - Al Yarmouk Meshref	2:2
09.03.22	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Al Naser	0:4
09.12.21	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Al Naser	0:1
Kuwaiti Emir Cup
13.09.21	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Al Naser	0:2
Kuwaiti Premier League
29.11.20	Al Naser - Al Yarmouk Meshref	5:0
01.02.20	Al Naser - Al Yarmouk Meshref	3:1
18.10.19	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Al Naser	2:2

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