Match Info

NPL Victoria Women - Round 21

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Alamein		South Melbourne

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.70	3.60	1.75
	3.7	3.65	1.75
	3.53	4.03	1.78
	3.57	4.06	1.78
	3.45	3.95	1.76
	3.87	3.72	1.81
	3.75	3.7	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↓ (4.25)	3.82 ↑ (3.7)	1.77 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alamein
24.9%

Draw
23.8%

South Melbourne
51.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21%

24.1%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

26.4%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alamein has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alamein than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alamein that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Melbourne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alamein - South Melbourne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 5)

Alamein is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

South Melbourne's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, South Melbourne has had a series of home games.

South Melbourne will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alamein FC Women
Australian NPL Victoria Women
11.07.26	Heidelberg United - Alamein	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Alamein - Preston Lions	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Bentleigh Greens - Alamein	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Essendon Royals - Alamein	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Alamein - Melbourne City U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTLW
- South Melbourne Women
Australian NPL Victoria Women
11.07.26	South Melbourne - Spring Hills	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Boroondara Eagles - South Melbourne	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	South Melbourne - Box Hill United	2:2 ✺
20.06.26	South Melbourne - Melbourne Victory U20	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	South Melbourne - Heidelberg United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLTTW

Alamein - South Melbourne

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Alamein - South Melbourne Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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