Location: Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak (Vladikavkaz)
Alania Vladikavkaz
Dynamo Kirov
1
X
2
1.99
3.69
3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.99 ↓ (2.95)
3.69 ↑ (3.14)
3.24 ↑ (2.25)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alania Vladikavkaz 46.4%
Draw 25%
Dynamo Kirov 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
28.9%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
27.9%
41.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alania Vladikavkaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alania Vladikavkaz's performance.
Dynamo Kirov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo Kirov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (-16.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alania Vladikavkaz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kirov than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Kirov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Byazrov D. (G) 99. Abdulkhamidov M. 19. Butaev A. 2. Gioev A. 4. Kachmazov S. 8. Khugaev A. (C) 21. Kozyrev A. 11. Matyushenko I. 23. Nafikov V. 75. Ogoev S. 9. Zakirov A. M.
1. Zadiraka V. (G) 13. Ageev M. 9. Bilalov B. 91. Filippov A. 5. Goryainov I. 29. Ignatovich E. 73. Kalinov S. 8. Kamaev N. 12. Malykh A. (C) 98. Pozdnyakov E. 19. Stepanov A.
Substitutes
14. Amiraliev A. 5. Bagaev A. 24. Dzutsev A. (G) 7. Gurtsiev B. 76. Karkuzaev G. 10. Kobesov D. 3. Kuskov A. 31. Natabashvili G. (G) 55. Ramonov Z. 57. Tepsikoev D.
99. Burkov A. 7. Dibirov I. 89. Dorofeev N. 3. Kolobov E. 10. Lauk M. 6. Martinkevich M. 16. Savin A. (G) 47. Solodarenko V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Abdulkhamidov M. ⚽,
33', Stepanov A. 🟨,
35', Goryainov I. ↓, Solodarenko V. ↑,
35', Ignatovich E. ↓, Kolobov E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 🟨,
54', Abdulkhamidov M. ↓, Gurtsiev B. ↑,
55', Pozdnyakov E. ↓, Dorofeev N. ↑,
55', Bilalov B. ↓, Martinkevich M. ↑,
59', Khugaev A. 🟨,
59', Martinkevich M. 🟨,
71', Ageev M. ↓, Dibirov I. ↑,
73', Gioev A. 🟨,
74', Kamaev N. 🟨,
74', Kozyrev A. ↓, Ramonov Z. ↑,
81', Ogoev S. 🟨,
81', Solodarenko V. 🟨,
83', 2 - 0, Zakirov A. M. ⚽,
88', 🟨,
88', Matyushenko I. ↓, Kuskov A. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: )).
Recent form of Alania has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Dynamo Kirov is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Dynamo Kirov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Alania has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alania won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Alania won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
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Byazrov D. (G) 
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