Match Info

3. Lig Group 4 - Round 16

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Alanya 1221		Bornova

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.55	4.25
	1.64	3.79	4.66	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.2
	1.74	3.96	3.96
	1.62	3.66	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)	3.69 ↓ (3.97)	4.31 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alanya 1221
54.5%

Draw
24.5%

Bornova
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23.2%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

20.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alanya 1221 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The chances for Bornova have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanya 1221 than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bornova than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Alanya 1221 - Bornova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Kuzey A. (Penalty Awarded),
89', 0 - 2, Kuzey A. ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, Altintas K. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, Sivrikaya O. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Alanya has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bornova has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Alanya is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alanya won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Alanya 1221	29	10	8	11	28:32	-4	38
14	Bornova 1877	29	5	6	18	34:64	-30	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alanya 1221 FSK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
21.12.25	Alanya 1221 - Eskişehirspor	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Denizli İY Güreller - Alanya 1221	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Alanya 1221 - Ayvalıkgücü	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Uşak Belediyespor - Alanya 1221	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Alanya 1221 - Altay	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLLWW
- Bornova FK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
21.12.25	Balikesirspor - Bornova	1:1 ✺
17.12.25	Bornova - Kutahyaspor	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Karşıyaka - Bornova	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Bornova - Tire 2021	1:6 ✺
30.11.25	Söke 1970 - Bornova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
07.09.25	Bornova - Alanya 1221	1:1

Alanya 1221 - Bornova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide