Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 12

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Alba		Ticino

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.2	1.83
	3.87	3.01	1.81
	3.87	3.01	1.82
	3.5	3.3	1.83
	3.94	3.42	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.52)	3.19 ↓ (3.31)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alba
23.4%

Draw
27.8%

Ticino
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

26.7%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

25.7%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Ticino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alba than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ticino than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).

Alba is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ticino is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ticino will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alba Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
01.11.23	Varese - Alba	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Alba - Asti	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Albenga - Alba	4:1 ✺
15.10.23	Alba - Borgosesia	1:3 ✺
08.10.23	Vado - Alba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLL
- RG Ticino
Italian Serie D - Group A
01.11.23	Ticino - Unione Sanremo	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Fezzanese - Ticino	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Ticino - Ligorna	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Chieri - Ticino	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Ticino - Varese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWTWT

Alba - Ticino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide