Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Albalonga		Flaminia Civita Castellana

	1	X	2
	1.94	3.91	3.12	Watch
	1.89	3.32	3.7
	1.8	3.2	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.93)	3.48 ↓ (3.85)	3.72 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albalonga
48.9%

Draw
26.4%

Flaminia Civita Castellana
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

23.8%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

21.9%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albalonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Flaminia Civita Castellana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albalonga than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Albalonga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flaminia Civita Castellana than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flaminia Civita Castellana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Albalonga - Flaminia Civita Castellana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Polidori A. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Persichini L. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Casari I. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 1, Ingretolli C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
79', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albalonga won 2.

Recent performances by Albalonga have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Flaminia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Albalonga will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Albalonga won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Albalonga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Albalonga
Italian Serie D - Group G
23.11.25	Ischia Isolaverde - Albalonga	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Albalonga - Atletico Lodigiani	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Latte Dolce - Albalonga	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Albalonga - Sarrabus Ogliastra	4:2 ✺
26.10.25	Valmontone - Albalonga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWL
- ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana
Italian Serie D - Group G
23.11.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Palmese 1914	1:3 ✺
16.11.25	Trastevere - Flaminia Civita Castellana	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Anzio	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Monastir - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Scafatese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
12.01.20	Albalonga - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:0
08.09.19	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Albalonga	2:2
Italian Serie D - Group G
27.01.19	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Albalonga	1:1
07.10.18	Albalonga - Flaminia Civita Castellana	4:1
22.01.17	Albalonga - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:2
14.02.16	Albalonga - Flaminia Civita Castellana	1:2

Albalonga - Flaminia Civita Castellana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide