Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga BPI Women - Round 13

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Mergulhão (Nogueira do Cravo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Albergaria Durit		Damaiense

	1	X	2
	5.4	4.3	1.46
	5.42	4.25	1.5	Watch
	5.79	4.2	1.45
	5.4	4.3	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.5 ↓ (5.79)	4.26 ↓ (4.31)	1.47 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albergaria Durit
16.6%

Draw
21.4%

Damaiense
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

21.1%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

20.3%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albergaria Durit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Damaiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albergaria Durit than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damaiense than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Albergaria Durit - Damaiense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pinheiro L. (G) 25. Couto M. 5. Smaili B. 55. Ribeiro F. 7. Freitas A. 12. Ibrahim A. 20. Costa M. 6. Alexandra Henriques 11. Rodrigues M. 10. Martins C. 28. Luis L. (C)	1. Joia C. (G) 23. Harris T. 3. Matos I. 19. Beckert C. 99. Goncalves G. 4. Stone M. 6. Santos D. 20. Fernandes M. 10. Lidiane 7. Mateus T. 5. Hawkins E.
Substitutes
27. Ferreira C. 8. Galvao M. 9. Lemos S. 33. Lockwood A. 97. Mocholi T. 18. Montenegro R. 16. Oliveira B. 21. Ruess P.	13. Almeida C. 94. Blais A. 21. Cruz E. 71. Dagenais M. (G) 16. Dantas J. 18. Moreira I. 14. Torslov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Ribeiro F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Mateus T. ⚽,
61', Fernandes M. ↓, Torslov A. ↑,
68', Santos D. 🟨,
69', Alexandra Henriques ↓, Mocholi T. ↑,
72', Santos D. ↓, Cruz E. ↑,
72', Lidiane ↓, Dantas J. ↑,
79', Couto M. ↓, Montenegro R. ↑,
85', Ibrahim A. ↓, Lemos S. ↑,
90', Mateus T. ↓, Blais A. ↑,
90+2', Hawkins E. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Albergaria won 1.

Recent matches Albergaria is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Damaiense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Damaiense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Damaiense is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Albergaria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:15 (average 1.1:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Albergaria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albergaria Durit
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
11.01.25	Vilaverdense - Albergaria Durit	1:5 ✺
06.01.25	Torreense - Albergaria Durit	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Albergaria Durit - Benfica	1:3 ✺
12.12.24	Albergaria Durit - Vilaverdense	2:1 ✺
21.11.24	Albergaria Durit - Racing Power	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLWL
- SF Damaiense Women
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
15.01.25	Braga - Damaiense	1:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
12.01.25	Damaiense - Valadares Gaia	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Vilaverdense - Damaiense	0:4 ✺
21.12.24	Damaiense - Famalicão	3:0 ✺
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
14.12.24	Damaiense - Braga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga BPI Women
14.09.24	Damaiense - Albergaria Durit	1:0
04.02.24	Damaiense - Albergaria Durit	1:0
01.10.23	Albergaria Durit - Damaiense	2:1
26.03.23	Damaiense - Albergaria Durit	3:3
05.11.22	Albergaria Durit - Damaiense	1:3
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
04.09.22	Damaiense - Albergaria Durit	4:1
28.08.22	Albergaria Durit - Damaiense	1:2

Albergaria Durit - Damaiense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide