Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 10

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Alcorcón B		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	1.85
	3.89	3.3	1.9
	3.38	3.54	1.99	Watch
	4.14	3.2	1.83
	4.6	3.55	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↓ (4.2)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	1.85 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón B
23.1%

Draw
27.3%

Móstoles URJC
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

26.6%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

26.3%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Alcorcón B - Móstoles URJC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón B won 2.

Recent form of Alcorcón B has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Móstoles is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Móstoles is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón B won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alcorcón B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcorcón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.11.25	San Sebastian Reyes B - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Alcorcón B - Racing Madrid	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Las Rozas - Alcorcón B	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Alcorcón B - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Alcorcón B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLTL
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.11.25	Móstoles URJC - México	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Tres Cantos - Móstoles URJC	2:3 ✺
19.10.25	Móstoles URJC - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Móstoles URJC - Galapagar	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	San Sebastian Reyes B - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
31.03.24	Móstoles URJC - Alcorcón B	0:1
11.11.23	Alcorcón B - Móstoles URJC	2:2
14.03.21	Móstoles URJC - Alcorcón B	2:1
27.10.19	Alcorcón B - Móstoles URJC	1:0
31.03.19	Alcorcón B - Móstoles URJC	0:1
11.11.18	Móstoles URJC - Alcorcón B	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
18.02.18	Móstoles URJC - Alcorcón B	2:0

Alcorcón B - Móstoles URJC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide