The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alcorcón B 38%
Draw 34.6%
Villaverde San Andrés 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
28.1%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
27.2%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcorcón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Villaverde San Andrés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villaverde San Andrés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villaverde San Andrés than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villaverde San Andrés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alcorcón B - Villaverde San Andrés Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+5', 🟥,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón B won 2.
Alcorcón B is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Villaverde has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón B won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Alcorcón B won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).
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