Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Alcúdia		Collerense

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.1	3.23	3.34
	2.11	3.15	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.09)	3.19 ↑ (3.18)	3.25 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcúdia
43.6%

Draw
28.5%

Collerense
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.6%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

24.5%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Alcúdia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Collerense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcúdia than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcúdia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collerense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Alcúdia - Collerense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Alcúdia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Collerense has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Alcúdia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Collerense has had a series of home games.

Alcúdia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alcúdia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Alcúdia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Alcúdia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
11.11.25	Santanyí - Alcúdia	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Alcúdia - Constancia	1:0 ✺
22.10.25	Alcúdia - Platges de Calvià	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Mallorca B - Alcúdia	5:2 ✺
20.09.25	Llosetense - Alcúdia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LWWLL
- UD Collerense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
08.11.25	Collerense - Mallorca B	0:5 ✺
02.11.25	Platges de Calvià - Collerense	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Collerense - Formentera	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Collerense - Llosetense	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Collerense - Manacor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
21.09.24	Alcúdia - Collerense	1:1
20.01.24	Collerense - Alcúdia	1:2

Alcúdia - Collerense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide