Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 18

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Alcúdia		Manacor

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.55	1.62
	22.59	10.79	1.06	Watch
	5	3.4	1.62
	5.08	3.64	1.59
	5	3.66	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.44 ↑ (4.1)	5.01 ↑ (4.1)	1.5 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcúdia
12%

Draw
20.3%

Manacor
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcúdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcúdia's form might have worsened.

Manacor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manacor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcúdia than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcúdia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manacor than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manacor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alcúdia - Manacor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 2, ⚽,
59', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

Alcúdia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Manacor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alcúdia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Manacor is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcúdia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Alcúdia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Manacor	5	5	0	0	15:5	10	15
11	Alcudia	5	2	0	3	10:11	-1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Alcúdia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
10.01.26	Alcúdia - Mercadal	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Alcúdia - Felanitx	2:1 ✺
17.12.25	Binissalem - Alcúdia	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Peña Deportiva - Alcúdia	5:1 ✺
06.12.25	Alcúdia - Portmany	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLT
- CE Manacor
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
11.01.26	Mallorca B - Manacor	4:1 ✺
04.01.26	Manacor - Platges de Calvià	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Formentera - Manacor	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Llosetense - Manacor	1:4 ✺
22.11.25	Manacor - Cardassar	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
05.04.25	Manacor - Alcúdia	0:0
23.11.24	Alcúdia - Manacor	4:2
01.03.24	Alcúdia - Manacor	2:0
12.10.23	Manacor - Alcúdia	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
20.08.17	Alcúdia - Manacor	3:0

Alcúdia - Manacor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide