Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Aldosivi 2		San Lorenzo 2

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.1	3.1	2.12
	3.32	3.35	2.13
	3.23	3.28	2.12	Watch
	3.2	3	2.1
	3.27	3.13	2.1
	3.9	3.4	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.9)	3.19 ↓ (3.4)	2.06 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi 2
27.5%

Draw
28.4%

San Lorenzo 2
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

26.1%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

23.2%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

San Lorenzo 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi 2 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo 2 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Aldosivi 2 - San Lorenzo 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
72', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 11).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Aldosivi 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

San Lorenzo 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aldosivi 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Including home match between the teams, Aldosivi 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi 2
Argentinian Reserve League
22.04.26	Quilmes 2 - Aldosivi 2	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Aldosivi 2	4:0 ✺
09.04.26	Aldosivi 2 - River Plate 2	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Racing Club 2 - Aldosivi 2	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Aldosivi 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW
- San Lorenzo 2
Argentinian Reserve League
23.04.26	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - San Lorenzo 2	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	San Lorenzo 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - San Lorenzo 2	3:1 ✺
01.04.26	San Lorenzo 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Godoy Cruz 2 - San Lorenzo 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
23.10.22	Aldosivi 2 - San Lorenzo 2	2:3

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