Match Info
Reserve League - Apertura - Round 9Date: 14 April 2026, TuesdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | Disney+, LPF Play |
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San Lorenzo 2 |
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Gimnasia La Plata 2 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.05 |
3.35 |
3.05 |
Watch |
 |
2.07 |
3.32 |
3.26 |
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2.07 |
3.39 |
3.23 |
Watch |
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2.05 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
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2.06 |
3.2 |
3.29 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.13) |
3.27 ↑
(3.2) |
3.19 ↓
(3.29) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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San Lorenzo 2
43.9% | Draw
27.7% | Gimnasia La Plata 2
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Gimnasia La Plata 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo 2 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (-1%)San Lorenzo 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Croce B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 71', 0 - 2, Lopez Garcia S. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo 2 won 1.Recent performances by San Lorenzo 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Gimnasia La Plata 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). San Lorenzo 2 could have a small edge in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo 2 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian Reserve League | | | 19.11.25 | Gimnasia La Plata 2 - San Lorenzo 2 | 3:1 | | 24.07.25 | San Lorenzo 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2 | 0:0 | | 26.02.25 | Gimnasia La Plata 2 - San Lorenzo 2 | 0:0 | | 31.10.24 | Gimnasia La Plata 2 - San Lorenzo 2 | 0:2 | | 29.05.24 | San Lorenzo 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2 | 1:1 | | 09.03.23 | Gimnasia La Plata 2 - San Lorenzo 2 | 0:1 | | 14.10.22 | San Lorenzo 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2 | 3:1 |
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✺ - easy match;
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