Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA WEST - ROUND 17

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Neuer Tivoli (Aachen)


	Alemannia Aachen		Kaan-Marienborn

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.5	3.6
	1.82	3.55	3.75
	1.81	3.65	3.85
	1.88	3.77	3.86
	1.78	3.4	3.9
	1.83	3.76	3.88
	1.8	3.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.07)	3.6 ↑ (3.47)	3.81 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alemannia Aachen
50.5%

Draw
25.4%

Kaan-Marienborn
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

25.1%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alemannia Aachen's performance.

Kaan-Marienborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kaan-Marienborn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alemannia Aachen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaan-Marienborn than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaan-Marienborn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Alemannia Aachen - Kaan Marienborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Aachen will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Kaan-Marienborn will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 5).

Aachen in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kaan-Marienborn is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aachen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aachen is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Aachen to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aachen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Aachen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alemannia Aachen
German Regionalliga West
11.11.22	Schalke 04 II - Alemannia Aachen	0:0 ✺
05.11.22	Alemannia Aachen - Rödinghausen	3:1 ✺
29.10.22	Alemannia Aachen - Lippstadt 08	1:0 ✺
21.10.22	Alemannia Aachen - Köln II	3:1 ✺
15.10.22	Straelen - Alemannia Aachen	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWWWW
- 1. FC Kaan-Marienborn
German Regionalliga West
12.11.22	Kaan-Marienborn - Bocholt	3:0 ✺
05.11.22	Wiedenbrück - Kaan-Marienborn	1:2 ✺
29.10.22	Kaan-Marienborn - SG Wattenscheid	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Kaan-Marienborn	3:1 ✺
16.10.22	Kaan-Marienborn - Wuppertal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
09.04.19	Kaan-Marienborn - Alemannia Aachen	0:1
15.09.18	Alemannia Aachen - Kaan-Marienborn	2:2

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