Match Info

ITALY: Primavera 2 - Round 29

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Alessandria U19		Brescia U19

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.7	2
	2.93	3.7	2.11
	2.95	3.7	2.12
	2.9	3.8	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.49)	3.73 ↑ (3.61)	2.07 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria U19
31.5%

Draw
24.4%

Brescia U19
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

25.6%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

25.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alessandria U19's form might have worsened.

Brescia U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brescia U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria U19 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alessandria U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia U19 than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brescia U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 5)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, ⚽,
27', 0 - 3, ⚽,
31', 0 - 4, ⚽,
43', 0 - 5, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
46', 0 - 6, ⚽,
48', 0 - 7, ⚽,
52', 0 - 8, ⚽,
55', 0 - 9, ⚽,
84', 0 - 10, ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Primavera 2 (Play Out: ) and 12).

Alessandria U19 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brescia U19 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alessandria U19 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria U19 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria U19
Italian Primavera 2
27.04.24	Renate U19 - Alessandria U19	1:3 ✺
20.04.24	Como U19 - Alessandria U19	3:1 ✺
13.04.24	Alessandria U19 - Südtirol U19	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Venezia U19 - Alessandria U19	3:1 ✺
30.03.24	Alessandria U19 - Reggiana U19	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTLL
- Union Brescia U19
Italian Primavera 2
27.04.24	Brescia U19 - Reggiana U19	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Brescia U19 - Padova U19	3:1 ✺
13.04.24	Renate U19 - Brescia U19	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Cittadella U19 - Brescia U19	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Brescia U19 - AlbinoLeffe U19	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 2
09.12.23	Brescia U19 - Alessandria U19	4:1
18.02.23	Brescia U19 - Alessandria U19	0:1
08.10.22	Alessandria U19 - Brescia U19	2:2
19.02.22	Brescia U19 - Alessandria U19	3:2
02.10.21	Alessandria U19 - Brescia U19	1:2

Alessandria U19 - Brescia U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide