Match Info

ITALY: PRIMAVERA 2 - ROUND 9

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Alessandria U19		SPAL U19

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.75	1.78
	3.77	3.61	1.84
	3.77	3.61	1.84
	3.84	3.66	1.76
	3.6	3.75	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (2.7)	3.68 ↓ (4)	1.81 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria U19
24.8%

Draw
24.8%

SPAL U19
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

22.7%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

22.3%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alessandria U19's form might have worsened.

SPAL U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPAL U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria U19 than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alessandria U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL U19 than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alessandria U19 - SPAL U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 10).

Recent matches Alessandria U19 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SPAL U19 is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alessandria U19 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria U19 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria U19
Italian Primavera 2
11.11.23	Cittadella U19 - Alessandria U19	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Alessandria U19 - Padova U19	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Südtirol U19 - Alessandria U19	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Alessandria U19 - Venezia U19	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Cremonese U19 - Alessandria U19	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWTWL
- SPAL U19
Italian Primavera 2
11.11.23	Como U19 - SPAL U19	1:3 ✺
04.11.23	SPAL U19 - AlbinoLeffe U19	2:2 ✺
28.10.23	Padova U19 - SPAL U19	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	SPAL U19 - Brescia U19	4:1 ✺
07.10.23	Venezia U19 - SPAL U19	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 2
15.04.23	Alessandria U19 - SPAL U19	1:2
03.12.22	SPAL U19 - Alessandria U19	0:0

Alessandria U19 - SPAL U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide