Match Info

ROMANIA: ROMANIAN CUP - ROUND 1

Date: 28 September 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Prima Sport 1


	Alexandria		CFR Cluj

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.25	4.33	1.39	Watch
	7	4.5	1.4	Watch
	6.8	4.41	1.38
	7.5	4.75	1.3
	7.9	4.85	1.3	Watch
	7.6	4.55	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.18 ↑ (5.4)	4.57 ↑ (3.72)	1.36 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandria
12.7%

Draw
20%

CFR Cluj
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

24.8%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

24.5%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

CFR Cluj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CFR Cluj's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandria than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CFR Cluj than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CFR Cluj, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Alexandria - CFR Cluj Predictions

Users Predictions: CFR Cluj will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Branza . Cana S. . Ciobanu M. . Cretu G. . Dodoi G. . Georgescu V. . Iakabfi S. . Mogos A. . Neagu C. . Perju C. . Stancu M.	89. Hindrich O. (G) 9. Betancor J. 82. Fica R. 8. Filip R. 2. Juricic L. 7. Krasniqi E. 44. Kresic A. 19. Mogos V. 3. Morgan Z. 73. Muhar K. (C) 24. Zejnullahu R.

Preview

Alexandria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CFR Cluj is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

CFR Cluj could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match CFR Cluj is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSM Alexandria
Romanian Division 2
23.09.23	Alexandria - Argeș Pitești	0:4 ✺
16.09.23	Gloria Buzău - Alexandria	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Alexandria - CSM Slatina	0:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
30.08.23	Alexandria - Concordia Chiajna	1:0 ✺
Romanian Division 2
27.08.23	Steaua București - Alexandria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLWT
- CFR Cluj
Romanian SuperLiga
25.09.23	Rapid Bucureşti - CFR Cluj	3:1 ✺
18.09.23	CFR Cluj - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Voluntari - CFR Cluj	1:4 ✺
26.08.23	CFR Cluj - Botoșani	3:1 ✺
21.08.23	Universitatea Cluj - CFR Cluj	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWW

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