Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Complejo Deportivo Guadalentín (Murcia)

Referee: Fernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+


	Alhama		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3.05	2.52
	2.76	3.25	2.5
	2.76	2.91	2.71	Watch
	2.71	3.23	2.56
	2.36	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.12)	3.12 ↓ (3.25)	2.62 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alhama
35.1%

Draw
29.6%

Deportivo A Coruña
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

27.5%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

26.6%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alhama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alhama's form might have worsened.

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhama than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alhama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo A Coruña, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alhama - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. de Toro Aldaria E. (G) 27. Castineyras C. 3. Martinez N. 6. Quintero A. 10. Alvarez A. 18. Encarni 14. Velazquez Jurico A. 19. Martinez B. 7. Yiyi 16. Gestera M. 9. Pinel R. (C)	1. Gomez Y. (G) 23. Barth M. 20. Vazquez E. 3. Martinez V. 26. Novo P. 8. Rodriguez O. 6. Gutierrez P. (C) 7. Nieto E. 11. Monteagudo P. 14. Marin Martin A. 16. Marisa
Substitutes
13. Belotto S. (G) 26. Berasategui V. 22. Diaz Leal M. 8. Estefa 20. Santamaria Coleto A. 17. Toro J. 5. Yannel 28. Zapata P. 2. Zumarraga A.	5. Artero M. 24. Cavanagh C. 19. Latorre B. 21. Martinez L. 10. Millene 4. Muina Asla H. 2. Ortiz S. 13. Teixeira Pereira I. (G)
Coaches
Garcia J.	Alonso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Gestera M. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Alvarez A. ⚽, Encarni (A),
45+5', Vazquez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Martinez V. ↓, Artero M. ↑,
46', Rodriguez O. ↓, Muina Asla H. ↑,
46', Nieto E. ↓, Millene ↑,
54', 3 - 0, Martinez B. ⚽, Alvarez A. (A),
68', Encarni ↓, Yannel ↑,
72', Gestera M. 🟨,
74', 3 - 1, Monteagudo P. ⚽,
77', Monteagudo P. ↓, Latorre B. ↑,
77', Gutierrez P. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
82', Velazquez Jurico A. 🟨,
84', Gestera M. ↓, Diaz Leal M. ↑,
84', Pinel R. ↓, Estefa ↑,
90+1', Martinez B. ↓, Santamaria Coleto A. ↑,
90+2', Yiyi ↓, Berasategui V. ↑,
90+6', Castineyras C. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Alhama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alhama won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Alhama won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alhama CF
Spanish Liga F Women
27.09.25	Logroño United - Alhama	2:4 ✺
21.09.25	Alhama - Tenerife	0:4 ✺
13.09.25	Alhama - Granada	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Levante - Alhama	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Barcelona - Alhama	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTTL
- Deportivo A Coruña Women
Spanish Liga F Women
28.09.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Madrid CFF	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Real Madrid - Deportivo A Coruña	4:0 ✺
14.09.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Espanyol - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Badalona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Federacion Women
09.03.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Alhama	1:0
26.11.23	Alhama - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1

Alhama - Deportivo A Coruña: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide