Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 21

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Alhaurino		Melilla B

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.55
	1.95	3.19	3.94
	1.94	3.18	3.89
	1.95	2.9	3.9
	1.91	3.08	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.12)	3.12 ↑ (2.89)	3.84 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alhaurino
47.2%

Draw
29.2%

Melilla B
23.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.5%

31.1%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

32.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alhaurino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Melilla B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alhaurino than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla B than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Alhaurino - Melilla B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Ouzzani U. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 11).

Alhaurino has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Melilla B is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alhaurino might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	CD Alhaurino	8	2	3	3	7:9	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alhaurino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
28.02.26	Granada B - Alhaurino	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Alhaurino - Huétor Vega	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Huétor Tájar - Alhaurino	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Martos - Alhaurino	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Alhaurino - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWLT
- UD Melilla B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
28.02.26	Melilla B - Torre Del Mar	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	El Palo - Melilla B	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Melilla B - Torredonjimeno	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Granada B - Melilla B	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Melilla B - Huétor Vega	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 TTWWW

Alhaurino - Melilla B