Match Info

TURKEY: 3. Lig Group 3 - Round 25

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Aliaga		Çorluspor

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.5	5
	1.58	3.73	5.31	Watch
	1.53	3.8	5.51
	1.63	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.64)	3.63 ↑ (3.2)	5.21 ↓ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliaga
57.3%

Draw
25.1%

Çorluspor
17.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.4%

28.4%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

26.7%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Çorluspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çorluspor than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Aliaga - Çorluspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 0, Kanci O. ⚽,
90+6', Karakas E. 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Lig Play Offs and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Lig Play Offs).

Aliaga is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Çorluspor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Aliaga is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Aliaga to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aliaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliaga FK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
15.03.25	Alanya 1221 - Aliaga	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Aliaga - Çankaya	3:1 ✺
02.03.25	Karabük İdmanyurdu - Aliaga	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Aliaga - Viranşehir	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	1922 Konyaspor - Aliaga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWWT
- Çorluspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
16.03.25	Çorluspor - Pazarspor	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Viranşehir - Çorluspor	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Ayvalıkgücü - Çorluspor	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Çorluspor - Bursa Yıldırımspor	3:1 ✺
26.01.25	Yozgat Bozokspor - Çorluspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
10.11.24	Çorluspor - Aliaga	0:2

Aliaga - Çorluspor