Match Info

TURKEY: 3. Lig Group 3 - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Aliaga		Bursa Yıldırımspor

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.95	7.4
	1.45	3.78	6.59
	1.45	3.84	7.28	Watch
	1.41	3.9	7.5
	1.4	3.95	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (2.12)	3.88 ↑ (2.9)	7.23 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliaga
64%

Draw
23.4%

Bursa Yıldırımspor
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

31.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

30.1%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliaga's performance.

Bursa Yıldırımspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bursa Yıldırımspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-19.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aliaga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bursa Yıldırımspor than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bursa Yıldırımspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aliaga - Bursa Yıldırımspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Sahingoz M. R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Biyik B. ⚽,
62', 3 - 0, Golbasi M. ⚽,
65', 4 - 0, Biyik B. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliaga FK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
08.12.24	Yozgat Bozokspor - Aliaga	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Aliaga - Bayburt İl Özel İdare	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Osmaniyespor - Aliaga	0:0 ✺
16.11.24	Aliaga - 52 Orduspor	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Çorluspor - Aliaga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTTTW
- Bursa Yıldırımspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
08.12.24	Bursa Yıldırımspor - Pazarspor	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Viranşehir - Bursa Yıldırımspor	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Bursa Yıldırımspor - 1922 Konyaspor	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Bursa Yıldırımspor - Küçükçekmece	0:3 ✺
03.11.24	Ayvalıkgücü - Bursa Yıldırımspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Aliaga - Bursa Yıldırımspor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide