Match Info

Date: 12 May 2021, Wednesday


	Alians Lypova Dolyna		Polissya Zhytomyr

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.25	4.2
	1.83	3.39	4.44
	1.78	3.1	4.4
	1.8	3.38	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.72)	3.28 ↓ (3.64)	4.32 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alians Lypova Dolyna
51%

Draw
27.9%

Polissya Zhytomyr
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

24.9%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

16.4%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alians Lypova Dolyna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Polissya Zhytomyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alians Lypova Dolyna than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alians Lypova Dolyna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polissya Zhytomyr could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).

Alians is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Polissya is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alians could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alians is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alians won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alians Lypova Dolyna
Ukrainian Persha Liga
07.05.21	Hirnyk-Sport - Alians Lypova Dolyna	2:3 ✺
30.04.21	Alians Lypova Dolyna - Kramatorsk	1:1 ✺
23.04.21	Volyn Lutsk - Alians Lypova Dolyna	2:2 ✺
16.04.21	Polissya Zhytomyr - Alians Lypova Dolyna	1:2 ✺
10.04.21	Alians Lypova Dolyna - Kharkiv	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTTWT
- Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukrainian Persha Liga
03.05.21	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Polissya Zhytomyr	3:2 ✺
29.04.21	Polissya Zhytomyr - Volyn Lutsk	1:0 ✺
24.04.21	Kremin Kremenchuk - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:2 ✺
16.04.21	Polissya Zhytomyr - Alians Lypova Dolyna	1:2 ✺
10.04.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Polissya Zhytomyr	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.04.21	Polissya Zhytomyr - Alians Lypova Dolyna	1:2

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