The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Lima 32.2%
Draw 28.1%
Universitario de Deportes 39.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.6%
25.4%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
25.1%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg.
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 2.
In recent matches, Alianza Lima has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Uni de Deportes is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, Uni de Deportes has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).