Match Info

Liga Women - Round 7

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata (Barrancabermeja)


	Alianza Valledupar		Once Caldas

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.65	4.7
	2.79	3.89	2.12	Watch
	2.68	3.84	2.15
	1.63	3.65	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.58)	3.76 ↑ (3.75)	3.42 ↓ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Valledupar
45.1%

Draw
26.2%

Once Caldas
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

24.3%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.9%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Valledupar's form might have worsened.

Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Once Caldas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Once Caldas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Once Caldas will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Patino N. (G) 16. Bolano M. 7. Bonett S. 8. Cabrales V. 24. Gallego M. 17. Giraldo M. 28. Jaimes F. 30. Perez E. 3. Ramos T. 6. Sandoval A. 18. Vera H.	25. Agamez D. (G) 4. Giraldo C. 19. Gomez E. 18. Gomez L. 7. Infante Suarez N. C. 24. Martinez A. 3. Navas S. 17. Orozco M. 14. Pastrana N. 5. Ruiz N. 8. Valencia D.
Substitutes
11. Florez M. 99. Garrido E. 19. Gomez E. 21. Granados K. 22. Guarnizo G. 2. Saldarriaga L. 12. Saravia A. (G)	22. Alonso N. 10. Castillo L. 20. Patino S. 12. Rodriguez J. (G) 2. Torres M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Gomez L. ⚽, Gomez E. (A),
33', Giraldo M. ↓, Florez M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 🟨,
51', 🟨,
53', Giraldo C. ↓, Castillo L. ↑,
57', 🟨,
62', Perez E. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
62', Cabrales V. ↓, Guarnizo G. ↑,
64', Martinez A. ↓, Patino S. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Ruiz N. (Pen),
76', Bonett S. ↓, Granados K. ↑,
80', Orozco M. ↓, Alonso N. ↑,
85', 🟨,
85', 1 - 2, Florez M. ⚽,
86', 1 - 3, Guarnizo G. (Own goal),

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: ) and 14).

Recent matches Alianza is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Once Caldas is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Alianza is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Valledupar Women
Colombian Liga Women
28.03.25	Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Alianza Valledupar - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	América de Cali - Alianza Valledupar	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Alianza Valledupar - La Equidad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLW
- Once Caldas Women
Colombian Liga Women
27.03.25	Once Caldas - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	La Equidad - Once Caldas	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Inter Palmira - Once Caldas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WLLTL

Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide