The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Almansa 16.8%
Draw 25.3%
Villarrobledo 57.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22%
29.4%
48.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.3%
23.2%
61.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almansa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almansa's form might have worsened.
Villarrobledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarrobledo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almansa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Almansa - Villarrobledo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Almansa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Villarrobledo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Villarrobledo is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Almansa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.