Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 32

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Almudévar		Ebro

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.7	1.46
	5.4	3.3	1.65
	5.7	3.31	1.64
	5.46	3.3	1.66
	5.34	3.28	1.65
	5.4	3.3	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.59 ↓ (6)	3.37 ↓ (3.7)	1.62 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almudévar
16.3%

Draw
27.2%

Ebro
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

24.6%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

23.9%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almudévar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Ebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almudévar than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ebro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Almudévar - Ebro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Prat M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
62', 0 - 2, Charlez V. ⚽,
69', 0 - 3, Paki ⚽,
72', 0 - 4, Paki ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Almudévar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ebro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ebro is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Almudévar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Almudévar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Almudévar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
17.04.25	Cuarte - Almudévar	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Almudévar - Belchite	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Épila - Almudévar	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Almudévar - Tamarite	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Fuentes - Almudévar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTTLW
- CD Ebro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
19.04.25	Ebro - Andorra CF	4:0 ✺
13.04.25	Binéfar - Ebro	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Ebro - Zuera	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Huesca B - Ebro	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Ebro - Fraga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
21.12.24	Ebro - Almudévar	1:0
06.04.24	Almudévar - Ebro	2:0
19.11.23	Ebro - Almudévar	0:1

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