Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday


	Alpendorada		Sertanense

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.25	3.04	3.06
	2.39	3.04	2.94	Watch
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.34	3.1	3.05
	2.55	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.79)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	2.89 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
38.2%

Draw
30.1%

Sertanense
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

28.6%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alpendorada's performance.

Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sertanense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Alpendorada - Sertanense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Garces J. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Botelho J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 3 - 0, Fonseca H. ⚽,

Preview

Sertanense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.09.24	Régua - Alpendorada	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Alpendorada - Gondomar	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Leça - Alpendorada	3:0 ✺
18.08.24	Alpendorada - Marítimo B	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Alpendorada - Lusitânia	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLWL
- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.09.24	Sertanense - Pombal	3:1 ✺
01.09.24	União de Coimbra - Sertanense	3:2 ✺
25.08.24	Sertanense - Marinhense	2:3 ✺
18.08.24	Peniche - Sertanense	3:2 ✺
07.04.24	Sertanense - Fontinhas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLT

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