Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Altavilla		Luparense

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.10	1.98
	3.55	3.00	1.95
	3.54	3.21	2.01	Watch
	3.50	3.00	1.97
	3.41	3.22	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.7)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	1.98 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altavilla
25.8%

Draw
28.9%

Luparense
45.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.8%

29.7%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

28.5%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Luparense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altavilla than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Altavilla - Luparense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 12th and 1st in the Promotion).

Altavilla has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Luparense is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Luparense is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Altavilla has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Altavilla against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Luparense	9	5	4	0	15:3	12	19
12	Altavilla	9	2	4	3	16:10	6	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione La Rocca Altavilla
Italian Serie D - Group C
18.10.26	Brian Lignano - Altavilla	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Altavilla - Union Clodiense	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Schio - Altavilla	2:2 ✺
27.09.26	Altavilla - Virtus Bolzano	7:0 ✺
20.09.26	Mestre - Altavilla	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTWL
- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
18.10.26	San Donà - Luparense	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Luparense - Este	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Brian Lignano - Luparense	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Luparense - Union Clodiense	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Luparense - Virtus Bolzano	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
15.03.26	Luparense - Altavilla	1:1
02.11.25	Altavilla - Luparense	1:0

Altavilla - Luparense