Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Altglienicke		Zwickau

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.4	3.65
	1.94	3.47	3.73
	1.91	3.38	3.59
	1.88	3.66	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.9)	3.48 ↓ (3.6)	3.64 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altglienicke
48.2%

Draw
26.5%

Zwickau
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

25.9%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.1%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altglienicke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Zwickau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altglienicke than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Altglienicke - Zwickau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Nietfeld J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
71', 2 - 0, ⚽,
74', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Altglienicke is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Altglienicke won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 3.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Altglienicke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Zwickau - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 25.16%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VSG Altglienicke
German Regionalliga Nordost
29.08.25	Luckenwalde - Altglienicke	1:3 ✺
26.08.25	Altglienicke - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:3 ✺
22.08.25	Eilenburg - Altglienicke	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Altglienicke - Carl Zeiss Jena	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Altglienicke	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWWL
- FSV Zwickau
German Regionalliga Nordost
31.08.25	Zwickau - Meuselwitz	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Hertha Berlin II - Zwickau	3:3 ✺
22.08.25	Zwickau - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Babelsberg - Zwickau	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Eilenburg - Zwickau	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
09.04.25	Altglienicke - Zwickau	3:1
30.08.24	Zwickau - Altglienicke	0:3
07.04.24	Altglienicke - Zwickau	2:3
22.10.23	Zwickau - Altglienicke	0:5

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