The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Altos 33.1%
Draw 31.7%
Atlético Piauiense 35.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.7%
29.4%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
30.6%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altos's form might have worsened.
Atlético Piauiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Piauiense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altos than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Piauiense than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Piauiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Altos - Atlético Piauiense Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Altos (2.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Altos (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 0 - 1, De Arthur C. ⚽,
85', 0 - 2, Junior Mandacaru ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Piauiense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Piauiense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Altos has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
CAP is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Altos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Altos won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Altos won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).