Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 9

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Gregorão (Contagem)


	América Mineiro		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.95	2.9
	2.32	3	3
	2.4	3.05	3.07
	2.42	3.08	3.06	Watch
	2.26	3.22	2.9
	2.32	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.6)	3.05 ↓ (3.4)	2.99 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
39.2%

Draw
30.1%

Fluminense
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

26.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

25.9%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

América Mineiro - Fluminense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. América MG (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Taluane (G) 5. Ana Flavia 9. Gadu 15. Iara 6. Ilana 4. Mayara 30. Mimi (C) 55. Pimenta 11. Radija 10. Rafa Levis 2. Vitoria	1. Claudia (G) 5. Claudinha 33. Cotrim 15. Debora Sorriso 3. Gislaine (C) 11. Kamilla 8. Karina 21. Lele 7. Lurdinha 77. Raquel 30. Veronica
Substitutes
3. Ana Clara 14. Arias E. 29. Daise 23. Jaja 20. Keka (G) 16. Lais 28. Mariana Fausto 13. Portugal 8. Sassa 7. Soraya 1. Taina (G)	31. Cacau 9. Chu Santos 2. Isabela 20. Keke 12. Leticia Bussatto (G) 4. Nath Rodrigues 17. Paloma 23. Thaina (G) 10. Torre 16. Yasmin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', Pimenta 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Ana Flavia ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Mayara ⚽,
45+2', Lele 🟨,
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vitoria ↓, Lais ↑,
62', Lele ↓, Chu Santos ↑,
62', Claudinha ↓, Paloma ↑,
62', Pimenta ↓, Arias E. ↑,
66', Taluane 🟨,
68', Karina 🟨,
73', Veronica ↓, Keke ↑,
74', Lurdinha ↓, Keke ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Raquel (Pen),
81', Kamilla 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 1, Sassa ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

América MG is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fluminense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, América MG won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro Women
Brasileiro Women
30.04.25	São Paulo - América Mineiro	1:3 ✺
27.04.25	Sport Recife - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	América Mineiro - Cruzeiro	0:3 ✺
16.04.25	América Mineiro - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	3B da Amazônia - América Mineiro	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WWLTW
- Fluminense RJ Women
Brasileiro Women
01.05.25	Fluminense - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Bahia - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio Women
23.04.25	Fluminense - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Brasileiro Women
20.04.25	Sport Recife - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Fluminense - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
17.06.24	Fluminense - América Mineiro	1:0
Brasileiro A2 Women
16.04.23	Fluminense - América Mineiro	2:1

América Mineiro - Fluminense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide