Match Info

Premier League

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Amagaju		Gasogi United

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.68	2.58
	3.3	2.42	2.57
	3.22	2.54	2.61	Watch
	3.05	2.63	2.55
	3.33	2.4	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.69)	2.53 ↓ (2.78)	2.57 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amagaju
28.8%

Draw
35.9%

Gasogi United
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

32.5%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

34.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amagaju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Gasogi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amagaju than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amagaju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gasogi United than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Amagaju - Gasogi United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 4).

Amagaju is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gasogi United is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gasogi United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Amagaju won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Amagaju won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Gasogi United - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 33.95%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amagaju FC
Rwanda Premier League
22.11.25	Amagaju - Etincelles	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Gorilla - Amagaju	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Amagaju - Musanze	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Rayon Sports - Amagaju	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Police - Amagaju	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLLL
- Gasogi United
Rwanda Premier League
21.11.25	Gasogi United - Kiyovu Sports	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Mukura Victory Sports - Gasogi United	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Gasogi United - Muhanga	1:0 ✺
24.10.25	Gicumbi - Gasogi United	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Bugesera - Gasogi United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
27.04.25	Gasogi United - Amagaju	1:0
15.09.24	Amagaju - Gasogi United	2:2
24.02.24	Amagaju - Gasogi United	2:0
14.10.23	Gasogi United - Amagaju	0:1

Amagaju - Gasogi United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide