Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ambrosiana		Luparense

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.2	2.6
	2.4	3.25	2.55
	2.47	3.26	2.5
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.54	3.32	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (3.86)	3.27 ↑ (3.18)	2.64 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ambrosiana
38.1%

Draw
27.7%

Luparense
34.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.4%

27.2%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

26.8%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ambrosiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ambrosiana's performance.

Luparense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luparense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ambrosiana than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ambrosiana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luparense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Ambrosiana - Luparense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ambrosiana will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Luparense will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Luparense is Qualified for Serie D ~ Play Offs

Ambrosiana in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Luparense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ambrosiana won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Ambrosiana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GSD Ambrosiana
Italian Serie D - Group C
08.05.22	Levico Terme - Ambrosiana	0:1 ✺
01.05.22	Ambrosiana - Spinea	5:3 ✺
27.04.22	Cjarlins Muzane - Ambrosiana	1:2 ✺
23.04.22	Ambrosiana - Mestre	1:1 ✺
15.04.22	Caldiero Terme - Ambrosiana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WWWTW
- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
08.05.22	Luparense - Cartigliano	3:0 ✺
01.05.22	Montebelluna - Luparense	3:1 ✺
27.04.22	Luparense - Union Clodiense	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Campodarsego - Luparense	1:0 ✺
14.04.22	Luparense - San Martino Speme	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
23.02.22	Luparense - Ambrosiana	2:0
10.04.21	Luparense - Ambrosiana	1:2
13.12.20	Ambrosiana - Luparense	0:3
26.01.20	Ambrosiana - Luparense	5:1
22.09.19	Luparense - Ambrosiana	2:0

Ambrosiana - Luparense