The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
America RJ 56.1%
Draw 27.9%
Araruama 16%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.5%
27%
14.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
25.8%
13.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
America RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Araruama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for America RJ than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for America RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araruama than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
America RJ - Araruama Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 🟥,
80', 0 - 1, Weverton ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B1).
In recent matches, America RJ has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Araruama has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Araruama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, America RJ is the clear favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, America RJ won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, America RJ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
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