The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amsterdamsche FC 51.5%
Draw 23.7%
BVV Barendrecht 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.6%
22.3%
23.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
21.9%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amsterdamsche FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
BVV Barendrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amsterdamsche FC than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BVV Barendrecht than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Amsterdamsche FC - BVV Barendrecht Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van Zetten G. (G) 3. Markiet G. 19. el Ibrahimi K. 15. van Weerdenburg G. 23. van Rhijn R. 16. De Mooij S. (C) 10. van der Greft J. 5. Martis B. 33. Hovenkamp T. 29. Fonseca R. 6. Benninga N.
1. Meer Bradley (G) 12. Schop C. 4. Vermeer W. 3. de Graaf T. 15. Rook K. 8. Jongman J. (C) 6. Bayram T. 17. Vugts B. 24. Kanlic K. 21. Mrowicki O. 11. Serghini A.
Substitutes
24. Eliasar M. 28. Gouda D. 8. Hoek M. 14. Klopper M. 2. Lucke B. 7. Platje M. 30. Van Schouten G. (G)
2. Brand J. 10. Fortes E. 30. Kooiman M. (G) 26. Polak G. 25. Rimon R. 9. van der Heiden D. 19. van Mierlo R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, De Mooij S. (Pen),
13', Martis B. 🟨,
14', van Rhijn R. 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Jongman J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Martis B. ↓, Lucke B. ↑,
63', Jongman J. 🟨,
64', van der Greft J. ↓, Hoek M. ↑,
64', Fonseca R. ↓, Klopper M. ↑,
66', Mrowicki O. ↓, van Mierlo R. ↑,
71', Hoek M. 🟨,
73', de Graaf T. 🟨,
73', Benninga N. ↓, Eliasar M. ↑,
73', Hovenkamp T. ↓, Gouda D. ↑,
77', Serghini A. ↓, Rimon R. ↑,
77', Vugts B. ↓, van der Heiden D. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Klopper M. ⚽,
81', De Mooij S. 🟨,
86', de Graaf T. ↓, Brand J. ↑,
86', Rook K. ↓, Fortes E. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Gouda D. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AFC won 4.
In recent matches, AFC has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Barendrecht is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, AFC is a strong favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, AFC won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 2.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, AFC won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.8:0.8).
Watch
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van Zetten G. (G) 
Martis B. 
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