Match Info
Potiguar - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 15 March 2026, SundayLocation: Arena das Dunas (Natal)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
|
 |
|
 |
|
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América RN |
|
Potiguar |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.24 |
4.95 |
9.8 |
|
 |
1.25 |
5.2 |
9.93 |
|
 |
1.25 |
4.6 |
11 |
|
 |
1.37 |
4.74 |
7.9 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.35) |
4.87 ↑
(4.18) |
9.66 ↑
(8.45) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
América RN
71.7% | Draw
18.8% | Potiguar
9.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América RN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Potiguar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for América RN than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potiguar than the current prediction. (+0.9%)América RN - Potiguar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Mateus ⚽,
- 45+5', 1 - 1, Lopes Ricardo (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg result: 3-1. Second leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América RN won 3.América RN is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).In recent matches, Potiguar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Potiguar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Potiguar has had a series of home games. In this match, América RN is the undeniable favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América RN won 15 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 44:9. (average 2.2:0.5).Including home matches between the teams, América RN won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 2.1:0.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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