The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América de Cali 68.1%
Draw 21.1%
Orsomarso 10.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.5%
22.8%
12.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.4%
21.5%
12%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Orsomarso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
América de Cali - Orsomarso Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Giraldo N. (G) 17. Arias C. 3. Orozco L. 5. Castaneda T. 16. Basanta L. 20. Chanchi I. 6. Munoz M. 10. Usme C. (C) 29. Chamorro L. 9. Mendoza O. 7. Florez G.
12. Duque M. (G) 25. Aguilar M. (C) 6. Tenorio K. 3. Ramos T. 18. Ferrin H. 15. Sanchez A. 4. Vergara M. 14. Rivera T. 24. Lasso Sanchez B. 23. Goyes V. 7. Asprilla F.
Substitutes
31. Asprilla T. 28. Beltran L. 25. Cordoba M. 22. Gonzalez Castaneda F. (G) 2. Gonzalez Z. 33. Henao M. 4. Ospina D. 32. Parga J. 18. Santos S.
20. Cassiani Y. 13. Florez M. 8. Garcia H. 9. Macias P. 19. Sandoval A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Munoz M. ⚽, Arias C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Goyes V. ↓, Garcia H. ↑,
46', Chanchi I. ↓, Cordoba M. ↑,
59', Sanchez A. ↓, Cassiani Y. ↑,
60', Mendoza O. ↓, Santos S. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Lasso Sanchez B. ⚽,
68', Chamorro L. ↓, Ospina D. ↑,
69', Vergara M. 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Tenorio K. (Own goal),
85', Aguilar M. 🟨,
89', Asprilla F. ↓, Sandoval A. ↑,
89', Orozco L. 🟨,
90+2', Florez G. ↓, Henao M. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Munoz M. ⚽, Santos S. (A),
Preview
In recent matches, América de Cali has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Orsomarso's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Orsomarso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, América de Cali is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, América de Cali won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).