Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 14

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Jonas Duarte (Anápolis)


	Anápolis		Brasiliense

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.2	4
	1.83	3.3	4
	1.82	3.2	4.3
	1.9	3.2	4	Watch
	1.73	3.3	4
	1.77	3.38	4.26
	1.83	3.3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.4)	3.27 ↑ (3.1)	4.08 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anápolis
50.1%

Draw
27.7%

Brasiliense
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.1%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28.8%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anápolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Anápolis's performance.

Brasiliense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brasiliense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Anápolis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasiliense than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasiliense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Anápolis - Brasiliense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Patryck ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Nene Bonilha ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Serie D
13.07.24	Mixto - Anápolis	1:1 ✺
07.07.24	Anápolis - Capital FC	3:1 ✺
29.06.24	Anápolis - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	0:0 ✺
22.06.24	Iporá - Anápolis	0:2 ✺
16.06.24	Anápolis - Real Brasilia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTWW
- Brasiliense FC
Brazilian Serie D
14.07.24	Brasiliense - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	2:0 ✺
07.07.24	Brasiliense - Real Brasilia	3:1 ✺
01.07.24	Mixto - Brasiliense	2:1 ✺
22.06.24	União Rondonópolis - Brasiliense	1:1 ✺
16.06.24	Brasiliense - Capital FC	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
28.04.24	Brasiliense - Anápolis	1:0
15.07.23	Anápolis - Brasiliense	0:0
13.05.23	Brasiliense - Anápolis	2:2
17.07.22	Brasiliense - Anápolis	1:1
17.04.22	Anápolis - Brasiliense	0:2
Club Friendly
17.07.19	Anápolis - Brasiliense	1:2

Anápolis - Brasiliense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide