Match Info

Date: 2 October 2022, Sunday


	Angered		Vänersborgs FK

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.25
	2.36	3.6	2.33
	2.41	3.85	2.47
	2.62	3.8	2.05
	2.4	3.74	2.41
	2.35	3.75	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (3.05)	3.72 ↓ (4)	2.34 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Angered
37%

Draw
24.3%

Vänersborgs FK
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

22.8%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

24%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Angered has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Angered's performance.

Vänersborgs FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vänersborgs FK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angered than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Angered that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vänersborgs FK than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vänersborgs FK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Angered - Vänersborgs FK Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Angered will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Vänersborgs FK will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Angered could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vänersborgs FK will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Angered won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Angered won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Angered BK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
24.09.22	Angered - Ahlafors	1:4 ✺
17.09.22	Kumla - Angered	2:5 ✺
10.09.22	Angered - Säffle	0:4 ✺
04.09.22	Karlslund - Angered	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Angered - Grebbestad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWLLW
- Vänersborgs FK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
25.09.22	Yxhults - Vänersborgs FK	0:1 ✺
18.09.22	Vänersborgs FK - Herrestads	3:3 ✺
09.09.22	Vänersborgs FK - Gauthiod	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Mjölby AI FF - Vänersborgs FK	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	Vänersborgs FK - Nordvärmland	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
18.06.22	Vänersborgs FK - Angered	3:1
23.10.21	Angered - Vänersborgs FK	4:1
13.06.21	Vänersborgs FK - Angered	1:4

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